Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.655034 2.909403 3.182961 3.499957 3.858322 4.252223 4.719745
2025-10-26 2.302368 2.648925 3.045770 3.537308 4.134610 4.843122 5.756483
2025-11-02 2.071201 2.466750 2.940571 3.556951 4.347955 5.343445 6.714663
2025-11-09 1.852826 2.264188 2.773919 3.462378 4.384323 5.600716 7.369581
2025-11-16 1.700235 2.123347 2.662952 3.415760 4.462257 5.902477 8.103133
2025-11-23 1.586314 2.019314 2.585792 3.399408 4.569564 6.244083 8.925203
2025-11-30 1.527851 1.981702 2.590591 3.490893 4.831097 6.827570 10.184956
2025-12-07 1.440343 1.896772 2.521791 3.468301 4.918332 7.153086 11.073592
2025-12-14 1.357676 1.812082 2.445766 3.426212 4.967876 7.419255 11.893315
2025-12-21 1.258508 1.697483 2.318476 3.295765 4.864829 7.423649 12.247990
2025-12-28 1.209169 1.651170 2.287072 3.308218 4.989111 7.815472 13.361168
2026-01-04 1.173272 1.621908 2.278305 3.353985 5.170128 8.321605 14.768923
2026-01-11 1.138979 1.594008 2.271152 3.403997 5.367174 8.887323 16.414655
2026-01-18 1.105400 1.565172 2.260515 3.447103 5.556053 9.461313 18.189887
2026-01-25 1.069289 1.530200 2.237623 3.467062 5.704113 9.973996 19.930531
2026-02-01 1.012163 1.459533 2.153506 3.375637 5.637901 10.053596 20.682388
2026-02-08 0.969056 1.408715 2.098479 3.330517 5.653692 10.299920 21.881942
2026-02-15 0.934917 1.370430 2.061698 3.314685 5.723469 10.666153 23.457666
2026-02-22 0.923031 1.367143 2.082441 3.403263 6.005770 11.525604 26.530582
2026-03-01 0.891515 1.330346 2.044617 3.381391 6.063159 11.891884 28.333174
2026-03-08 0.858664 1.289891 1.998435 3.340640 6.077599 12.160862 29.919094
2026-03-15 0.813068 1.226511 1.909876 3.214310 5.901929 11.961542 30.047388
2026-03-22 0.793342 1.205590 1.894137 3.226372 6.022352 12.490153 32.588335